Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.243519 0.287037 0.333370 0.386098 0.444166 0.505905 0.576247
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.186671 0.245751 0.313066 0.394345 0.488740 0.593895 0.718864
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.140011 0.206407 0.287301 0.390500 0.516109 0.661652 0.840640
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.101430 0.169104 0.257541 0.376659 0.528173 0.710081 0.940572
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080690 0.150732 0.248150 0.385500 0.566520 0.789946 1.079519
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.059871 0.127598 0.228570 0.377964 0.582076 0.840951 1.183836
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050351 0.119626 0.228747 0.396180 0.631017 0.934662 1.342967
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.038916 0.105606 0.217681 0.396821 0.655349 0.996562 1.462692
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030084 0.093846 0.208181 0.398203 0.679768 1.058341 1.582824
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024514 0.086926 0.205417 0.408917 0.717028 1.137506 1.726552
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.020488 0.082134 0.205464 0.423505 0.759827 1.224631 1.881867
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017052 0.077616 0.205259 0.437276 0.801442 1.310628 2.036779
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012179 0.067557 0.193587 0.431828 0.814838 1.358889 2.143658
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009272 0.061662 0.189046 0.437724 0.845249 1.431350 2.284299
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006256 0.053431 0.178287 0.431808 0.856856 1.477099 2.389044
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003618 0.043950 0.162851 0.415937 0.851648 1.498063 2.459528
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002613 0.040728 0.161100 0.424740 0.885768 1.576340 2.610317
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001435 0.034515 0.150754 0.416309 0.891248 1.612420 2.702330
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001132 0.033886 0.154621 0.435500 0.942633 1.717076 2.892012
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000629 0.030133 0.149315 0.436037 0.962703 1.775216 3.016421
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000318 0.026895 0.144686 0.437423 0.983975 1.835255 3.144014
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000183 0.025408 0.144934 0.448779 1.022423 1.921684 3.310160
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.024605 0.147142 0.464270 1.068229 2.019763 3.493830